Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.007909 0.009238 0.010818 0.012865 0.015488 0.018798 0.023394
2025-10-19 0.006092 0.007640 0.009683 0.012669 0.017096 0.023730 0.035144
2025-10-26 0.005179 0.006803 0.009101 0.012761 0.018815 0.029259 0.051089
2025-11-02 0.004487 0.006090 0.008473 0.012519 0.019809 0.033953 0.069302
2025-11-09 0.003880 0.005384 0.007700 0.011814 0.019715 0.036513 0.085374
2025-11-16 0.003439 0.004862 0.007117 0.011285 0.019752 0.039354 0.105736
2025-11-23 0.003203 0.004625 0.006954 0.011458 0.021249 0.046468 0.151719
2025-11-30 0.002946 0.004319 0.006625 0.011241 0.021821 0.051567 0.201605
2025-12-07 0.002698 0.004003 0.006236 0.010829 0.021811 0.055023 0.254134
2025-12-14 0.002518 0.003782 0.005990 0.010663 0.022367 0.060817 0.346910
2025-12-21 0.002435 0.003717 0.006018 0.011085 0.024627 0.074902 0.615382
2025-12-28 0.002396 0.003726 0.006184 0.011848 0.028202 0.099132 1.474825
2026-01-04 0.002294 0.003622 0.006144 0.012193 0.030937 0.125764 4.269393
2026-01-11 0.002150 0.003432 0.005909 0.012022 0.031964 0.145646 12.845754
2026-01-18 0.002045 0.003303 0.005785 0.012108 0.034013 0.178964 155.784814
2026-01-25 0.001925 0.003137 0.005561 0.011882 0.034780 0.205315 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001785 0.002920 0.005204 0.011227 0.033502 0.209278 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001670 0.002743 0.004921 0.010733 0.032761 0.219123 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001612 0.002675 0.004869 0.010894 0.035076 0.278394 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001534 0.002561 0.004704 0.010692 0.035605 0.317451 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001451 0.002431 0.004490 0.010307 0.035074 0.338134 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001389 0.002340 0.004357 0.010152 0.035702 0.389932 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001364 0.002324 0.004397 0.010546 0.039628 0.570736 NaN